Some interesting news this week... both Blackwing models are at 100% constraint, meaning the allocations for CT4 and CT5 this week are ONLY for Blackwings. That doesn't necessarily mean there will be more in terms of quantity, but who knows. Also, all CF still at 0%.
Hey everyone! We did get a new constraint report this week.
CT4-V BW - 20%
CT4-V BW - Both CF Packs - 0%
CT5-V BW - 13%
CT5-V BW - Both CF Packs and CF Seat Backs - 0%
No new constraints or allocations posted this week, probably because of the holiday. My dealer contact seems to think the same next week, but I'll update here again next Thursday regardless. Merry Christmas everyone!
Pretty sure what is being shared isn't giving too much away. Although I might ditch the table format to make it less obvious, and instead share updates via individual replies to this thread.
Let's start that here!
12/16/21:
CT4-V BW (10%), Carbon Fiber 1 and 2 (0%)
CT5-V BW (2%), Carbon Fiber...
The exact national allocation numbers on constraints are given to dealers during the allocation process, but that's getting into sharing confidential info. Just sharing the percentages here is stretching the boundaries a bit.
It's been on constraint for months. There's some hope in January with single digit constraint percentages, but of course that is all subject to change. Everything is back to 0% now.
Of course it's all subject to change, but if you look at the TPP weeks on the first post of this thread, theoretically there should be no CF packs in production this month until we get to January, where allocations for the constraints were opened up slightly, only to be closed again going into...
Constraints updated! Only good news this week is a higher percentage on CT4-V BW. All CF packs for both models now at 0%. Still no availability on the CT5 carbon seat backs.
You're right in that there are tons of variables, and it comes down to the dealer and the number of allocations they receive combined with their demand for orders. Unfortunately there is no norm.
Yep, I have a feeling that last week a lot of small dealers got some love. The dealer I am connected to is about as small as they get and they also got one.
Yep! A major part of getting an allocation is the "days supply" of the dealer. Two scenarios:
Small Dealer A sold 2 CT4 V BW in the last 180 days, and has 1 currently on order being built, and nothing in stock.
180 days * (1 available unit / 2 sales) = 60 day supply
Large Dealer B sold 15...
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